Rent-growth forecast intelligence

A demand-signal model that sharpens rent-growth forecasts across the 108 largest US metros.

The result

HomeStar sharpens rent-growth forecasts across these metros — cutting forecast error by +17.2% at 3 months, +15.5% at 6 months, and +22.2% at 12 months, consistent across market sizes.

Live concession layer

Top 25 metros — current-state read.

as of 2026-06-04

Phoenix, AZ

Largest

SizeRank 11

Live concessions: 82% · oversupplied · 157 buildings; page-depth de-biased · current-state texture, not the forecast

Dallas, TX

Largest

SizeRank 4

Live concessions: 79% · oversupplied · 180 buildings; page-depth de-biased · current-state texture, not the forecast

Houston, TX

Largest

SizeRank 5

Live concessions: 78% · oversupplied · 134 buildings; page-depth de-biased · current-state texture, not the forecast

Charlotte, NC

Largest

SizeRank 23

Live concessions: 75% · oversupplied · 165 buildings; page-depth de-biased · current-state texture, not the forecast

Washington, DC

Largest

SizeRank 6

Live concessions: 70% · softening texture · 197 buildings; page-depth de-biased · current-state texture, not the forecast

Denver, CO

Largest

SizeRank 19

Live concessions: 69% · softening texture · 160 buildings; page-depth de-biased · current-state texture, not the forecast

Philadelphia, PA

Largest

SizeRank 7

Live concessions: 68% · softening texture · 160 buildings; page-depth de-biased · current-state texture, not the forecast

Tampa, FL

Largest

SizeRank 18

Live concessions: 67% · softening texture · 163 buildings; page-depth de-biased · current-state texture, not the forecast

Atlanta, GA

Largest

SizeRank 9

Live concessions: 67% · softening texture · 196 buildings; page-depth de-biased · current-state texture, not the forecast

San Antonio, TX

Largest

SizeRank 24

Live concessions: 66% · softening texture · 159 buildings; page-depth de-biased · current-state texture, not the forecast

Portland, OR

Largest

SizeRank 25

Live concessions: 65% · softening texture · 176 buildings; page-depth de-biased · current-state texture, not the forecast

Orlando, FL

Largest

SizeRank 22

Live concessions: 64% · softening texture · 177 buildings; page-depth de-biased · current-state texture, not the forecast

San Diego, CA

Largest

SizeRank 17

Live concessions: 63% · softening texture · 194 buildings; page-depth de-biased · current-state texture, not the forecast

Sacramento, CA

Largest

SizeRank 26

Live concessions: 62% · softening texture · 114 buildings; page-depth de-biased · current-state texture, not the forecast

Seattle, WA

Largest

SizeRank 15

Live concessions: 61% · softening texture · 158 buildings; page-depth de-biased · current-state texture, not the forecast

Miami, FL

Largest

SizeRank 8

Live concessions: 56% · softening texture · 156 buildings; page-depth de-biased · current-state texture, not the forecast

Minneapolis, MN

Largest

SizeRank 16

Live concessions: 53% · softening texture · 184 buildings; page-depth de-biased · current-state texture, not the forecast

Boston, MA

Largest

SizeRank 10

Live concessions: 51% · softening texture · 199 buildings; page-depth de-biased · current-state texture, not the forecast

St. Louis, MO

Largest

SizeRank 21

Live concessions: 36% · softening texture · 183 buildings; page-depth de-biased · current-state texture, not the forecast

Baltimore, MD

Largest

SizeRank 20

Live concessions: 35% · softening texture · 197 buildings; page-depth de-biased · current-state texture, not the forecast

New York, NY

Largest

SizeRank 1

Live concessions: 30% · softening texture · 195 buildings; page-depth de-biased · current-state texture, not the forecast

Chicago, IL

Largest

SizeRank 3

Live concessions: 24% · softening texture · 177 buildings; page-depth de-biased · current-state texture, not the forecast

Pittsburgh, PA

Largest

SizeRank 27

Live concessions: 21% · softening texture · 194 buildings; page-depth de-biased · current-state texture, not the forecast

Detroit, MI

Largest

SizeRank 14

Live concessions: 15% · constrained · 190 buildings; page-depth de-biased · current-state texture, not the forecast

San Francisco, CA

Largest

SizeRank 12

Live concessions: 9% · constrained · 175 buildings; page-depth de-biased · current-state texture, not the forecast

The top 25 US metros by size (excluding submarkets), sorted by a de-biased live concession read collected via Bright Data's web-data platform — current-state texture, not the forecast. Any metro is queryable in the analyst. Forecast skill is pooled across the 108 metros, not a per-metro number.